Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 1.578317 1.823386 2.088554 2.396113 2.742314 3.119245 3.559950
2024-10-20 1.140714 1.464786 1.847535 2.329886 2.918196 3.608891 4.477314
2024-10-27 0.892935 1.259703 1.727475 2.360440 3.186122 4.217325 5.591894
2024-11-03 0.717235 1.101825 1.627207 2.383859 3.429570 4.805516 6.730817
2024-11-10 0.581692 0.966973 1.527448 2.381153 3.622749 5.332279 7.826045
2024-11-17 0.470211 0.842635 1.417421 2.339529 3.744437 5.759354 8.809343
2024-11-24 0.382258 0.736182 1.313924 2.286756 3.833751 6.136239 9.739382
2024-12-01 0.325303 0.669330 1.260275 2.299441 4.015648 6.654124 10.903704
2024-12-08 0.274115 0.602073 1.194179 2.279869 4.138753 7.085303 11.960670
2024-12-15 0.243607 0.567315 1.178157 2.340041 4.392577 7.732681 13.387643
2024-12-22 0.211085 0.521939 1.135415 2.346020 4.552049 8.235951 14.614584
2024-12-29 0.194848 0.507363 1.148221 2.452833 4.892848 9.056069 16.399670
2025-01-05 0.175597 0.483676 1.142078 2.527641 5.191358 9.840035 18.200308
2025-01-12 0.149750 0.439470 1.087858 2.503298 5.307608 10.323056 19.533377
2025-01-19 0.133812 0.415831 1.073557 2.556700 5.573691 11.085753 21.392551
2025-01-26 0.118619 0.390618 1.051765 2.591398 5.805689 11.801853 23.212473
2025-02-02 0.103413 0.361672 1.016687 2.592844 5.970723 12.404973 24.865398
2025-02-09 0.087967 0.328005 0.964695 2.549963 6.040559 12.833414 26.225234
2025-02-16 0.074248 0.295664 0.910275 2.493945 6.076206 13.196513 27.482315
2025-02-23 0.065572 0.276860 0.887318 2.508018 6.260413 13.855699 29.324688
2025-03-02 0.056709 0.254819 0.851851 2.487088 6.365443 14.363766 30.905454
2025-03-09 0.051994 0.246027 0.851386 2.552061 6.664958 15.275387 33.303090
2025-03-16 0.045948 0.230494 0.829019 2.558545 6.831978 15.927103 35.226768